If you’re wondering how in the world we made these, what may seem like strange, matches, here is the complete process we went through to narrow down these matches. This is based on the information we have received up to 02/14/2013, the week of episode 4.

Okay SO, so far here is what we know for sure based on the first four episodes. We know that Shanley and Chris T. are NOT a perfect match, thanks to the truth booth on episode one. We know that Ethan and Jessica are NOT a perfect match because of the truth booth on episode two. We know that JJ and Simone are NOT a perfect match, thanks to the truth booth on episode three. AND we know that Dillan and Jessica are not a match from episode three. We also have gotten a hint from MTV that Ethan and Amber ARE a perfect match. So we have compiled all of the couples from the match up ceremonies at the end of each episode and made it into this nice little chart (sorry it’s small). We know that in the first episode, there were 2 perfect matches, in the second there were 4, in the third there were 2 and in the fourth there were also 2.

We took this chart and eliminated what we know from the above information. Because we know that Ethan and Amber are a perfect match, we can cross out Ethan and Shanley from E1, Ryan and Amber from E1, Adam and Amber from E4, and Ethan and Kayla from E4. Also, because of the truth booth, we can cross out JJ and Simone (E1) and Dillan and Jessica (E4). Following me so far?

From here, we started guessing based on the information from the show. (We tried several different theories and match-ups and the one we are showing you now, is the only one that fits completely.) Now that we know, from the truth booth, that Dillan and Jessica are NOT a perfect match, we decided to put Dillan and Coleysia together. We think they are really cute together and they are good for each other. So, with that theory, we can cross out a few more things on the chart:

Still with me?? Here is where it gets interesting (and a little sad, actually). Notice that for episode 3, there were only 2 perfect match ups in that ceremony. We have selected Dillan and Coleysia and Ethan and Amber as perfect matches, so that fulfills the 2 match ups. That means, the rest of those match ups in that episode are NOT perfect matches so we crossed them out. From this, we were able to cross off a few in other episodes that were duplicate match ups as episode three. That brings us to this:

From here, we made another guess. In the most recent episode, we thought it was adorable how Wes was all lovestruck over Kayla and got really jealous when her and Ryan were together. We put them as a perfect couple: Wes and Kayla. They originally hit it off really well and have a lot in common. With this theory, we could cross off all of the possibilities on the chart having to do with Wes or Kayla. Episode one only had 2 perfect matches, and Dillan and Coleysia and Wes and Kayla fulfill this. We can cross off the rest of the match ups in episode one.

After that, we made another theory. In the most recent match up ceremony, Ryan and Brittany mentioned that they have been talking lately about how they might be a match. So we explored this idea. We think they would be a great couple and they have a lot in common. (We do love Ryan and Kayla together, but every trial we tried with them simply did not work). So we chose them as a perfect match. We were able to cross out any other match ups including Brittany or Ryan from here. Again, we see that with Dillan & Coleysia a perfect match and now Ryan & Brittany, we fulfill the 2 perfect matches in that ceremony. We can cross out what remains from those match ups.

From here, it’s just trial and error between who is left. The remaining match ups in week 2 are Adam & Shanley, Chris S. & Simone, Chris T. & Paige, and JJ & Jacy. So that leaves us with 6 guys and 6 girls all together that we are unsure about who their perfect match is. GUYS: Adam, Chris S., Chris T., JJ, Joey, and Dre. GIRLS: Shanley, Simone, Paige, Jacy, Jessica, and Ashleigh. So looking at what’s left on week two, we need to do a bit of trial and error to eliminate one of these remaining 4 match ups. We tried every combination possible between the couples that were left. For example, we tried eliminating Chris S. and Simone to see if Adam & Shanley, Chris T. & Paige, and JJ & Jacy would all work. But using the information we know of who CAN’T be with who from our previous eliminations on the chart, this match up did not work because it would have left us with 5 perfect matches in week 2 instead of 4. The only combination that worked was eliminating Adam & Shanley from the chart, leaving us with Chris S. & Simone, Chris T. & Paige, and JJ & Jacy. Using this information and the remaining guys and girls and who can’t be with who (see below) we narrowed it down to our final couples: Adam & Jessica, Dre & Shanley, Joey & Ashleigh.

(REASONING: Chris S. couldn’t be with Ashleigh or Paige because they had already been crossed off the chart, Chris T. couldn’t be with Jessica or Ashleigh, JJ couldn’t be with Jessica or Shanley, Joey couldn’t be with Paige, Shanley or Jacy, and Dre couldn’t be with Jacy or Ashleigh.)

That brought us to our 10 perfect matches: Ethan & Amber, Wes & Kayla, Dillan & Coleysia, Ryan & Brittany, Chris T. & Paige, Chris S. & Simone, and Adam & Jessica, Dre & Shanley, JJ & Jacy, and Joey & Ashleigh.

Everything fits with the match up ceremonies and when looking at each of our match ups, they all really do go perfectly together when you think about their personalities, goals from their bios on MTV, the way they act on the show, and more. If you think you can prove us wrong, see an error in our theory, or if you think you have better match ups, let us know!

Cool method guys! One thing I’m not quite clear on – was this the first solution that worked, or did you actual run through all other possible solutions?

If people want to see charts in a larger format, check them out at areyoutheonetracker.wordpress.com

Thanks! To answer your question, this WAS the first solution we tried and by chance it worked out perfectly. But We have tried several other possibilities after getting this one and nothing else has worked out so far

if you look at the new preview of the couple on MTV blog about the show. the Silloutte leads to Brittany and Joey being the next “for-sure” couple

It’s not Joey, it’s Dre. Dre’s sil is facing forward, in Joey’s sil he is facing the side.

Where are people finding the pictures to compare the silhouettes to?

if you look at the ears its 100% Joey

It’s from this gif

Well if you look at Brittany’d twitter she confirms she and Joey are a match. I just need a lost of last night’s matches

In the second match up ceremony you have JJ with Jessica but you already had Jessica also matched up with Dre in the same episode. That episode had JJ matched with Jacy which would make your final prediction wrong because it would give you 5 correct matchups in episode 2 instead of 4.

Jessica was paired up with Dillan, not Dre. As well as JJ like you said. thank you for pointing this out. We will correct this typo and reevaluate :)

I’m pretty confident about this: Joey and Brittany, Ethan and Amber, Dillan and Coleysia , JJ and Jacy, Wes and Kayla, Dre and Simone , Adam and Shanley, Ryan and Paige, Chris T and Jessica, Chris S and Ashleigh :)

I like your method. Using it, I noticed that “Chris S & Simone,” “Chris T & Paige” AND “JJ and Jacy” can’t all be matches. This is because in episode 2 Joey & Brittany are a match, as revealed by MTV. The other match is Ethan & Amber. And the third match is most likely (although not positively) JJ & Jacy.

After yesterday’s episode, we have 3 confirmed matches: Amber/Ethan, Dillan/Coleysia, Joey/Brittany. Same as you, I started eliminating based on that and the couples who we know are NOT matches. For now, I’m like 97% certain that Wes/Kayla and Dre/Simone are a perfect match. And 2 of these 3 (Adam/Shanley, Chris T/Paige, and JJ/Jacy) are perfect matches. That’s what I have until now. My guess is after next week, we can find out for certain doing this “elimination game” again.

My predictions are:

Amber/Ethan – MATCH

Dillan/Coleysia -MATCH

Joey/Brittany -MATCH

Wes/Kayla

Chris T/Paige

JJ/Jacy

Chris S/Ashleigh

Adam/Jessica

Dre/SImone

Ryan/Shanley

In episode one, Dillan and Coleysia, Wes and Kayla, and Chris S and Ashleigh were all paired. They had only two perfect matches – so my guess is Chris S and Ashleigh aren’t a match.

Okay, so I used like 3 pages of notebook paper, and here is what I have:

Ethan-Amber

Dillan-Coleysia

Joey-Brittany

Chris-Paige

Wes-Kayla

Adam-Shanley

Ryan-Jessica

Dre-Simone

John-Ashleigh

Scali-Jacy

Let me know if you guys spot any errors!!!

I think your right but I feel like Chris s maybe with with Jessica just because she’s a little thicker than jacy and Ryan is super skinny so I feel like he would physically pair better with jacy… Just food for thought …. But it could be your way too!!!

I have the same results just Jess and Scali and Ryan and Jacy instead

JJ and Jacy have to be a match because at week two there were four correct matches which were

Chris t and paige

ethan and amber

joey and brittany

Jj and jacy

all the others were incorrect.

as well as adam cannot be with shanley as episode 5 because there were 5 matches which were

Chris t and paige

dillan and coleysia

ethan and amber

jj and jacy

wes and kayla

Unless JJ/Jacy aren’t a match, making adam/shanley one of the perfect matches of that week. And I don’t think they are, I think it’s jj/ash, jacy/scali, adam/shanley

The only way it works.

Adam & Ashleigh

Chris S. & Jessica

Chris T. & Paige

Dillian & Coleysia

Dre & Simone

Ethan & Amber

Joey & Brittany

JJ & Jacy

Ryan & Shanley

Wes & Kayla

Yupp. 100% right – I’ve checked like 4 times and this is it. Thank you! :D

Went over it again (it’s driving me crazy!). Based on my own elimination game and which personalities I think would mesh well, I got:

Dillan/Coleysia*

Ethan/Amber*

Joey/Brittany*

Wes/Kayla

Chris T/Paige

Ryan/Jess

Adam/Shanley

Dre/Simone

JJ/Ashleigh

Scali/Jacy

i feel like this one is accurate

I got the same Thing!!!!

I don’t know what it is, but something isn’t right about yalls picked matches.

In the recent episode, 5 matches were paired.

1 for sure is Dillan and Coleysia, the 2nd was Ethan and Amber.

That leaves 3, but 4 others of yalls matches were matched up.

For example, Wes and Kayla, JJ and Jacy, Chris T. and Paige, Chris S. and Simone.

All 6 of those matches aren’t possible, if only five lights went off.

Do you know what all the matches for episode 5 were?

was it 5 matches including Dillon &Coleysia OR 5 matches excluding them altogether making it six?

from my understanding, 5 matches including dillan/cole, which is why I figured we only have 4 other couples to guess from.

are you gonna update this week after week?

After incorporating week 5 results, there are still 10 different scenarios. The most likey matching for each guy are

Adam/Shanley

Chris S./Simone

Chris T./Paige

Dillan/Coleysia

Dre/Simone

Ethan/Amber

Joey/Brittany

JJ/Jacy

Ryan/Jessica

Wes/Kayla

Now, Simone appears twice because this is the most likely matching for each guy, and Ashleigh is not particularly likely for any one guy. However, what I think the actual perfect matches are is:

Adam/Paige

Chris S./Simone

Chris T./Ashleigh

Dillan/Coleysia

Dre/Shanley

Ethan/Amber

Joey/Brittany

JJ/Jacy

Ryan/Jessica

Wes/Kayla

I believe based on process of elimination as well as logically thought on who seems based on personality to compliment each other:

Coleysia/Dillan PERFECT MATCH

Amber/Ethan PERFECT MATCH

Brittany/Joey GIF CLUE MATCH

Paige/Chris T. Released on episode 7 summary, on streaming website

Kayla/Wes

Simone/Dre

Shanley/Adam

Ashleigh/john j

Jacy/Ryan

Jessica/Chris S.

This seems more correct after watching episode 5.

I put my theory on the other page but I firmly believe that JJ/Jacy and Scali/Simone are not a match. I think that Ashleigh/JJ match up is a good pair up. My only other alternative (using only info from the past 5 episodes and clues) are that JJ/Shanley or Ryan/Ashleigh are a match.

I have an alternate theory using similar methods that also works with the ceremonies so far:

Amber & Ethan

Dillan & Coleysia

Chris T. & Paige

Wes & Kayla

Brittany & Joey

Simone & Dre

J.J & Ashleigh

Adam & Shanley

Jess & Chris S.

Jacy & Ryan

From a purely mathematical standpoint, there were 10! (10 factorial) = 3,628,800 possible combinations of matches when we started episode one. There are only 5 combinations left which fit what we now know. All 5 combinations have the following matches.

(CT+Pa)(Di+Co)(Jo+Br)(Et+Am)(We+Ka)

These are the other matches in the only 5 combinations which still fit.

1. (Dr+Si)(Ad+As)(JJ+Ja)(Ry+Sh)(CS+Je)

2. (Dr+Si)(Ad+As)(JJ+Ja)(Ry+Je)(CS+Sh)

3. (Dr+Si)(Ad+Sh)(JJ+As)(Ry+Ja)(CS+Je)

4. (Dr+Si)(Ad+Sh)(JJ+As)(Ry+Je)(CS+Ja)

5. (Dr+Je)(Ad+As)(JJ+Sh)(Ry+Ja)(CS+Si)

Statistically, they each have equal probability. But some may see one of these as more likely than the others, based on the interactions shown on the show.

Cheers!

Does anyone know the matchup from the fifth episode ceremony? Thanks.

Ethan and Amber because of a “hint” from MTV ???? well there may be a hint or it may be a red herring having not seen it I dont know, so I’m going to base my judgement on the evidence that ive seen in the truth booth and matching up ceremonies.

Still pretty confident with…

1. Amber & Ethan

2. Dillan & Coleysia

3. Chris T. & Paige

4. Brittany & Joey

5. Wes & Kayla

6. Adam & Shanley

7. Dre & Simone

8. Ryan & Jess

9. J.J. & Ashleigh (weird, i know)

10. Scali & Jacy

I’m with you, tonight I wanna see what goes down w/ Chris T/Paige/Shanley…i feel so bad for Paige, cause Chris T was being a douche and Shanley is a mess (don’t like her at all)

Same here, I don’t understand what is Shanley’s problem. Her speech nauseated me. What about Paige’s feelings and emotions isn’t she a person doesn’t she have feelings, doesn’t she want to feel wanted by her perfect match. I cried for Paige in the honeymoon suite. Chris T’s behavior is uncalled for. So wrong!!!!

I know! Shanley got upset cause people are trying to do what they went there to do (find their match and win the money). Since week 1 they knew they weren’t a match, and neither backed off, which is completely selfish cause they’re messing the game up for the 18 others in the house.

And they have the audacity to get mad at everyone else?! UGH!

Jenn, I agree with you. From watching the mid-season trailer on MTV’s website…I’m not convinced that JJ and Jacy are a match. JJ and Ashleigh seem kinda weird, but she was all up on Dre and I really haven’t seen her talk with anyone else.

Yes! Kayla/wes, ryan/jess, adam/shanley, jj/ash, dre/simone, ethan/amber, ct/paige, dill/col, brit/joey, scali/jacy I KNOW IT!!!

Kayla and Wes are definitely a perfect match, and Jacy and John are not a perfect match. See why here.

http://mtvareyoutheonerecaps.blogspot.com/

I want to know if Paige and Chris T will be together…

My Guesses are

Kayla and Wes

Ethan and Amber

Joey and Brittany

Chris T and Paige

JJ and Jacy

Dre and Simone

Ryan and Ashleigh

Scali and Shanley

Adam and Jess

Dillon and Coleysia

Anyone Agree or Disagree?

I did it as a logic puzzle eliminating couple possibilities and concluded with these results

JJ and Jacy can’t be a match. Look at lotsofrecaps.blogspot.com. it explains why.

i really resent mtv leaking answers on twitter and so on grrr, would rather have worked it out for myself.

also, when they didnt show a matchup ceremony at week 6, that said to me that the contestants would win the money in week 9…. the producers still had 10 shows to air, but only 9 matchup ceremonies to show – so the dramatic week 6 events seemed a good time to miss one out